Hand Review – Missing Bets Out Of Position

Consider the following situation:

$105 SNG on Full Tilt Poker. Blinds are t10/t20.

Hero (BB) has t1310. Villain (BTN) has t1690

Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is BB with Kh 7h

BTN raises to t60
, Hero calls t40.

Flop: (t120) 8c Td 3h
Hero checks. BTN checks.

Turn (t120) Kc
Hero checks. BTN checks.

River: (t120) 4c

Hero bets t80
. BTN folds.

Final Pot: t120. Hero wins t120.

Hand Analysis

You have the option to lead the flop since, in general, the T and 8 will hit your range a bit harder than it hits villains range. I don't expect random floats from most opponents on this type of board.

Once it gets checked to the turn, I prefer leading the turn. He can have a better king, but I would expect his check-back-range to be more like Ax or low pocket pairs, so I'd much rather c/c Ah 5h on an Ac turn than Kh 7h on a Kc turn because of pot control and how much more likely he is to bet an ace.

Also, the board is quite drawy, and your opponent might decide that you won't be leading 8x or Tx on this turn, which might lead him to value his weak pair is good enough to call a turn and bluffcatch some rivers. He might even call a turn bet with Ax Jx / Ax Qx which, instead, he has checked back.

One Comment

  • MrNeverdie says:

    Yeah, playing out of position is never easy, that is why no one really likes to be out of position. In this particular example, there is always a (mostly irrational) fear of getting raised if we lead out on the turn. So we often decide to check for pot control and call down if opponent decides to bet. The truth is K on the turn improves our hand drastically and there is so much value to be had by leading out against any potential draws that got checked through on the flop, turned flush draws, and some weaker 10s or 8s. Judging by the fold on the river, it is likely that opponent did not have much of anything in this particular hand, but very often in the situation like this, we will be missing decent amount of value by not betting the turn.

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